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Probability Calculator
P = Probability of Success
There is a
100%
Chance that you will have a Successful outcome
=
S = Successful Events, Number of possible Successful outcomes
1
N = Number of Events, Number of possible Possible outcomes
1
Enter a Goal that you would like to accomplish below
Below Enter Problems And Solutions
Probability Results
As a disclaimer. I am well aware that you cannot predict all of the things that could go wrong in a future event. Instead we use the scientific format of trouble shooting to calculate how to deduce the possible solution to a problem given the information available to you at the time.
So all Results of the Probability Calculator are based on the Economics assumption of Ceteris paribus.
Ceteris paribus, literally "holding other things constant," is a Latin phrase that is commonly translated into English as "all else being equal."
A dominant assumption in mainstream economic thinking, it acts as a shorthand indication of the effect of one economic variable on another, provided all other variables remain the same (constant). In the scientific sense, if we claim that one variable influences another, ceteris paribus, we are essentially controlling for the effects of some other variables.
In short Ceteris paribus means that if there are no new problems, and if you are honest with yourself when giving solutions to problems only go with solutions to problems that really work, for explain if your (Problem) is you are thirsty, (Solution#1) what is the first thing that you will do drink something, (Solution#2) you will pay attention to how you feel to see if the water work or, (Solution#3) If you still feel bad the next thing you will do is call a Doctor or go to the hospital.
As you see you can't account for the unknown "Ceteris paribus" but based on the limited knowledge that you have at hand if there are not any crazy out of this world crazy situations if the (Problem is that you are thirsty) if your solutions to the problem is (Solution1) drink something (Solution2) Pay extra attention to self to monitor your condition (Solution3) If condition does improve consult a professional.
If you use these solutions in a dehydration situation the probability of you having a successful outcome is 75%.
Yes I know the Probability Calculator Measures your "Chances of Success", in Theory... but truthly we use the Probability Calculator to measure your "Readiness to Handle a bad Situation"